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Research theme 04

Statistical Methods for Complex Social Data

How can complex longitudinal, categorical, relational, and behavioral data be represented and analyzed statistically?

A diagram of categorical behavioral trajectories over time, each row representing one individual's sequence of states, periodically resolving into a smooth latent curve and regrouping into clusters of individuals with similar patterns.

Categorical trajectories resolving into latent structure

Much of the data generated by social systems does not fit neatly into ordinary numeric time series: a social media user’s daily behavior is better described as a sequence of categorical states than as a continuous measurement. This theme is about building statistical representations that respect that structure instead of forcing it into a shape convenient for standard tools.

With collaborators, I have worked on categorical-valued functional data analysis — representing densely observed categorical longitudinal data through latent-process estimation and functional principal component analysis — and applied it to clustering social media users by their behavioral trajectories. That work is implemented in the open-source R package catfda and published in the Journal of the American Statistical Association.


Projects

Related projects

Categorical-Valued Functional Data Analysis

Many behavioral processes are observed as categorical trajectories rather than ordinary numeric time series. This work develops methods for representing and clustering densely observed categorical longitudinal data and applies them to social-media behavior.

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A diagram of categorical behavioral trajectories over time, each row representing one individual's sequence of states, periodically resolving into a smooth latent curve and regrouping into clusters of individuals with similar patterns.

Information Diffusion & Influence Pathways

This line of work studies how information spreads through social systems and how influence can be measured across actors and communities. It spans my doctoral research, diffusion models, and DARPA MIPS work on influence pathways using transfer entropy and network-based methods.

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A diagram of three online communities connected by directed influence pathways of varying strength, with the dominant direction of influence shifting between community pairs over time.

Measuring Influence Pathways in Online Communities

DARPA MIPs

This project asks which actors and communities actually drive the spread of information online. Under DARPA MIPs, I developed transfer-entropy-based methods and tools for identifying influence pathways within and between online communities.

DARPA MIPs (Modeling Influence Pathways), agreement HR00112290104 (PA-21-04-06). PI: Dr. Ivan Garibay, University of Central Florida.

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A diagram of three online communities connected by directed influence pathways of varying strength, with the dominant direction of influence shifting between community pairs over time.

Publications

Related publications